Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.492004 0.544369 0.600743 0.666072 0.739854 0.820782 0.916510
2025-07-27 0.410774 0.483464 0.567578 0.672662 0.801193 0.954261 1.151801
2025-08-03 0.362796 0.444879 0.544570 0.675668 0.845162 1.059136 1.353269
2025-08-10 0.329947 0.418102 0.529424 0.682079 0.888717 1.162691 1.560180
2025-08-17 0.296159 0.385406 0.501743 0.666876 0.899126 1.220062 1.707700
2025-08-24 0.276932 0.369333 0.493376 0.675225 0.940400 1.321605 1.927303
2025-08-31 0.256730 0.349734 0.477821 0.670988 0.961826 1.394957 2.111580
2025-09-07 0.241563 0.335627 0.468302 0.673784 0.992696 1.483975 2.329284
2025-09-14 0.224770 0.317720 0.451594 0.663864 1.002326 1.539791 2.498029
2025-09-21 0.210856 0.302897 0.438091 0.657270 1.015849 1.602093 2.683942
2025-09-28 0.193865 0.282263 0.414258 0.632294 0.996862 1.607911 2.769518
2025-10-05 0.186967 0.276451 0.412614 0.642454 1.036621 1.716818 3.056069
2025-10-12 0.179672 0.269688 0.409218 0.649808 1.072902 1.824581 3.357919
2025-10-19 0.172787 0.263125 0.405665 0.656564 1.108724 1.935342 3.681847
2025-10-26 0.165728 0.255778 0.400239 0.659474 1.137561 2.035636 3.998124
2025-11-02 0.159879 0.250003 0.396948 0.665706 1.172821 2.151606 4.364352
2025-11-09 0.150689 0.238134 0.382597 0.650928 1.166793 2.184922 4.552408
2025-11-16 0.146184 0.233857 0.380918 0.659044 1.205584 2.313020 4.976016
2025-11-23 0.139971 0.226299 0.373029 0.654925 1.219614 2.390705 5.292115
2025-11-30 0.135290 0.221107 0.368961 0.657643 1.247532 2.500820 5.704775
2025-12-07 0.129042 0.212840 0.358885 0.648000 1.248930 2.552597 5.977532
2025-12-14 0.123686 0.205874 0.350767 0.641589 1.256510 2.618955 6.299149
2025-12-21 0.116145 0.194644 0.334226 0.617306 1.223638 2.588684 6.354882